Opinion Academia

Master Prediction Markets

Learn to trade with confidence. From fundamentals to advanced strategies, build your expertise step by step.

Your Learning Path

Five modules designed to take you from beginner to expert trader

Probability Calculator

Calculate potential payoffs and understand your returns

Share price: $0.70

Shares: 142.86

If Your Prediction Wins:

Total Payout

$142.86

Profit

$42.86

ROI

42.9%

Live Market Examples

See real market data and learn how to read the signals

Presidential Election Outcome

Probability
58%
YES Price$0.58
NO Price$0.42
Volume$2.4M

Tech Stock Above $200 by EOY

Probability
72%
YES Price$0.72
NO Price$0.28
Volume$890K

Climate Target Met by 2030

Probability
35%
YES Price$0.35
NO Price$0.65
Volume$450K

Key Terms

Essential vocabulary for prediction market trading

YES Share

A contract that pays out if the prediction resolves true. Price represents probability.

NO Share

A contract that pays out if the prediction resolves false. Inversely related to YES shares.

Resolution

The process of determining the outcome and paying out winning positions.

Spread

The difference between the best bid and ask prices in the market.

Liquidity

The ease of buying or selling shares without significantly affecting the price.

Market Maker

A participant who provides liquidity by offering to buy and sell shares.

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions from new traders

Ready to Start Trading?

Join thousands of traders who have mastered prediction markets

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